Daily tennis previews and bets

[Freddy81]

Greetings to all, I'm a tennis fan, and I have made a website to share my opinion with other fans for upcoming matches and tennis match analysis techniques. Here I'll post my previews every day. My picks can be found on the website and by subscription.
Hope I'll not be boring

Choice for tomorrow, Sunday 25 September:
Match: Ljubicic - Davydenko,
Selection: Davydenko at 1.85 (do not know odds yet, local bookie offers 1.85).
First of all, I saw the match Ancic-Davydenko and can
say it was a convincing victory, the russian is in good
physical form and rather faultless. Davydenko did not play
a pair match today, and I think it was a tactical decision
to give him a rest, while croatian played 2 hard matches with
Youzhny and today's pair game, both in 5 sets.
Main reasons for the bet - Davydenko is fresh
and if he could involve Ljubicic in longer rallies
(not serve-and-volley game), his chances are greater.

 

[wilheim]

Sorry Freddy81 no links to other websites. You can post them in the Site Promotion forum.


BTW. welcome to the Rx. I hope you continue to post your tennis analsysis.


Best of Luck, wilheim..

 

[Freddy81]

Sorry, I did not want to become a spammer No paid offerings on my site, it's just enthusiastic, by the way...

 

[Freddy81]

Hello,

two indoor matches for handicap betting.

Ho Chi Minh City (Indoor Hard)
Brzezicki J. - Arthurs W.
Well, we know Wayne as a great server, but ages are coming and he is 34 now...
As you can see, H2H is very tight, and Juan Pablo has 10-5 agains left-handers, and 6-2 on hard.
VCBet offers 2.75 on Argentinian, perhaps it worth a small stake. A good bet will be +2.5 or +3 games handicap ~@1.9, shall wait when bookies give it. Fonbet is good for handicap betting, but odds will appear at 12-00 CET I suppose.

Wayne Arthurs Juan Pablo Brzezicki Pacific Life Open - Indian Wells
09.03.2005 q-First Hard 7-5 7-6(1)
Juan Pablo Brzezicki Wayne Arthurs Uncle Toby's Australian Men's Clay Court Challenger -
Canberra 02.04.2004 1/4 Clay 7-6(11) 7-6(5)

Sluiter R. - Waske A.
Two players who like to play indoors, Alexander Waske is very tall and has a powerful serve
which helps him to hold the serve on fast surfaces. Of course Raemon is more skilful in technics, but
Waske will be able ho hold his serve and lose in 2 ties as he did in February. Handicap +2.5 is good!

Raemon Sluiter Alexander Waske Logopak Challenger 2005 - Lubeck
27.02.2005 Final Carpet 7-6(2) 7-6(10)
Raemon Sluiter Alexander Waske Energis Open - Amersfoort
15.07.2003 First Clay 6-4 6-3

 

[Freddy81]

Bangkok (Indoor Hard)
Soderling - Vik
Handicap Vik(+4) 1.8 @FonBet

Robin Vik is truly the rising star of Czech tennis, a really universal player. This year is very
good for Vik, he won 2 indoor challengers, played well on clay and then switched back to hardcourts.
The Swede is not having the best year in his career, only 13-16 this year.
The H2H is close, so I Suppose +4 handicap will help here.

Robin Soderling Robin Vik Wimbledon - London
23.06.2003 q-Second Grass 4-6 6-2 6-2
Robin Vik Robin Soderling KGHM Polish Indoors - Wroclaw
03.02.2003 First I.hard 6-3 1-6 7-6(0)
Robin Soderling Robin Vik Internationaler Raiffeisen Grand Prix - St. Polten
20.05.2002 q-First Clay 7-6(4) 7-5

 

[Railbird]

Good luck Freddy,



I play Future qualies, still grinding in late 30's.



Anyway 2 wta plays for me

Groenfeld -200 over Danildodo
Hantchnova -174 over Gigures

Was thinking of fading JC Ferrero who is having affair with Maria Sharapova, also my buddy recently schooled Wayne Arthurs and hasnt won a match since, was about 4 months ago. Arthurs sucks.

 

[Freddy81]

Metz (I.Hard)

Seppi A. - Pavel A. 2/1.73/10Bet

Really good odds on a player who has 34-18 on indoor hard against one with 7-7. Pavel is a good fighter and a top-100 player, and Seppi has 7-17 on hard surfaces against top100. We know Seppi mainly as a claycourter, and his victory over Sabau must not be overestimated because Sabau is a claycourter too, and this match was the first for Seppi after the slow clay in Palermo. Considering all these facts, odds 1.73 on Pavel seems very nice.

 

[Railbird]

dont like the play Freddy, mainly becasue Pavel is a Czech, which means he is a mental midget, I dont bet on most Eastern Euro trash for this reason.

 

[flyinghigh+]

dont like the play Freddy, mainly becasue Pavel is a Czech, which means he is a mental midget, I dont bet on most Eastern Euro trash for this reason.

:monsters-

 

[Freddy81]

Moscow (Carpet)

Tursunov D . - Volandri P. 1/1.57/Pinnacle

There seems to be a value in these odds, because Tursunov is much more competitive on fast surfaces. He has better serve, better records 28-11 on indoors. Italian does not like to play against good servers, so Tursunov is clear favorite to me.

 

[Freddy81]

Tursunov did excellent... But no one seem to beleive in me anymore

Moscow (carpet)

Rusedski G. - Kunitsyn I.

Handicap +4 on Kunitsyn / 1.85 / Fonbet

Kunitsyn fights very good at home, and he beat Santoro yesterday - good result. Rusedski likes to play tight matches with tiebreaks, so +4 handicap on Kunitsyn looks very nice. Last Kunitsyn records at home were against tough opponents, but +4 handicap played well. I expect a close match again.

Nikolay Davydenko Igor Kunitsyn St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg 25.10.2004 First Carpet 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4
Dominik Hrbaty Igor Kunitsyn Kremlin Cup - Moscow 15.10.2004 1/4 Carpet 7-6(2) 6-4

 

[Freddy81]

Mathieu P. - Verdasco F. 2/1.6/Pinnacle

Mathieu lost to Benneteau 1-6 3-6 without any fight, it is very bad because Benneteau is almost dead this year. Paul-Henri is going to vacation? Both Verdasco and Mathieu have similar results on indoors, and Mathieu is always having troubles with left-handers (13-18). Spaniard seems to be a solid bet.

 

[Freddy81]

Kolding Challenger (Carpet)
Kunitcin I. - Wessels P. 2/1.9/GameBookers

Well, Kunitcin surprised by defeating Santoro, Rusedski and Pavel, but it was in Russia. Outside the home courts he is not so smart, and Wessels despite of having not very good year, is a tough opponent. He has a higher class, and it's time to prove it. But this is a challenger and everything could happen, so this bet cannot be called a "sure bet" - but still worth a try.

 

[Freddy81]

Lyon (Carpet)

Sanguinetti D. - Lopez F. 2/1.62/Canbet

Well, Feliciano is a decent fighter and lost 2 tight matches to Roddick and Stepanek. H2H is 2-0 on Lopez side, and the spanish left-hander should be inconvenient to Sanguinetti. Time to win, Feliciano!

 

[Avalanche88]

GL Freddy---what's your record in tennis?

 

[Freddy81]

Hello all, have not posted here for ages. New season and new hopes

AO qualies, Weiner to defeat Udomchoke.
Odds: 2.05 at BetAndWin

Glenn Weiner easily defeated Noam Okun, who is not that bad on open hardcourts. Good second service (9 of 15 = 60 %) and Net Approach(26 of 39 = 67 %) for Glenn.

Udomchoke had severe problems while defeating Stakhovsky (2-6, 6-3, 8-6) and must be tired. Stakhovsky is a very low leve player, and had 14 breakpoins at Udomchoke's service. Head-to-head is for American, so odds are nice and I go for American here.

 

[Freddy81]

AO qualies, Patience to defeat Bogomolov.
Odds: 1.57 at BetAndWin



Let's see some statistics.



Bogomolov had a tough match against Niemeyer (6-7, 6-2, 12-10). Winning on 2nd serve is 48 % , 45 winners and 50 errors. Niemeyer had 79 errors - too much - and lost.



Let us look at Frencman stats against Ram. 56% at 2nd serve, 35 winners and only 18 errors! That shows that Olivier played active and error-free tennis.



If he'll play in the same manner with Bogomolov, he'll win.

 

[trytrytry]

what tourney is this? when does it go off???

AO qualies, Patience to defeat Bogomolov.
Odds: 1.57 at BetAndWin



Let's see some statistics.



Bogomolov had a tough match against Niemeyer (6-7, 6-2, 12-10). Winning on 2nd serve is 48 % , 45 winners and 50 errors. Niemeyer had 79 errors - too much - and lost.



Let us look at Frencman stats against Ram. 56% at 2nd serve, 35 winners and only 18 errors! That shows that Olivier played active and error-free tennis.



If he'll play in the same manner with Bogomolov, he'll win.

 

[Freddy81]

It was Australian Open qualies. Sorry not to inform.

T. Henman - D. Tursunov 1
Australian Open, Henman to beat Tursunov.
Odds: 1.96 at Pinnacle
I suppose that it will be a revenge for the Wimbledon match - Tim has somewhat improved his serve in 2006 season. Now he hits not so fast, but very precise and where he wants it. Still do not beleive in Tursunov as high-class player, and of course he should not be a favourite here. Value in Tim.

J. Bjorkman - D. Gremelmayr 2(+6)
Australian Open, Gremelmayr not to lose for more than 6 games.
Odds: 1.85 at Fonbet
Bet on a qualifyer here. The German is pretty hot right now, and according to statistics he plays active tennis. Jonas is not getting younger, and I expect him to lose at least one set - that would be enough for beating the positive handicap.

T. Dent - G. Garcia-Lopez 2(+7)
Australian Open, Garcia Lopez not to lose for more than 7 games.
Odds: 1.97 at Fonbet
Dent is not that perfect that he was last year, I saw his match against Clement and Taylor made many errors and played really bad in long rallies. Garcia is doing pretty well at the baseline, and made some sensations at last AO. So Taylor should have some problems and probably will not that easy.

www.freddystennis.com - tennis picks

 

[Freddy81]

Ancic - Hernych(+6.5) handicap
Odds: 1.85 at GameBookers
Australian Open, Hernych not to lose for more than 6 games. As a "hit-and-run" player, Mario dislikes good baseliners. Hernych is reliable on baseline, and considering Mario's mental instability - I go for this handicap.

D. Nalbandian- S. Wawrinka(+6) handicap
Odds: 1.85 at GameBookers
Australian Open, Wawrinka not to lose for more than 6 games. David is far the most talented player in the tour, but he often loose concentration in his matches. With Udomchoke, he evel lost 2 sets. Wawrinka is surely more decent player, so Stan can get a set easily here - and handicap will be win.

G.Garcia- Lopez - J. Benneteau : G.Garcia-Lopes to win.
Odds: 1.64 at MediaBet
Australian Open, Garcia to defeat Benneteau. So what we have here? A good baseliner on a slow surface of Melbourne - Rebound Ace. Garcia is a very accurate player, makes few errors - Benneteau will lose because of his errors and overall bad shape.